DropForecast's hype-decay model says 2025-26 Panini Select Road to FIFA World Cup Soccer Hobby Box peaks about 14 days after drop (~Aug 7). Sell by Aug 11 (band Jul 28 – Aug 25). Holding 60 days past that costs an estimated ~26% of resale value (17–33% band) as the hype premium burns off. It dropped 1 days ago and is still climbing toward its modeled peak.
Model basis: category prior (no price history yet). Category: Cards. This is a statistical estimate of hype decay from public signals — low confidence, band Jul 28 – Aug 25 — not investment advice or a guarantee. Resale markets move; verify live comps before selling. DropForecast grades its calls in public at /scoreboard.