DropForecast's hype-decay model says 2026 Saturday Morning Cards U.S. Army Hobby Box peaks about 14 days after drop (~Aug 13). Sell by Aug 17 (band Aug 3 – Aug 31). Holding 60 days past that costs an estimated ~26% of resale value (17–33% band) as the hype premium burns off. It drops Jul 30 — the clock starts then.
Model basis: category prior (no price history yet). Category: Cards. This is a statistical estimate of hype decay from public signals — low confidence, band Aug 3 – Aug 31 — not investment advice or a guarantee. Resale markets move; verify live comps before selling. DropForecast grades its calls in public at /scoreboard.
