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When to sell Ja Morant’s Nike Air Force 1 “Pearl” Releases Tomorrow?

Low confidence
Aug 4 sell-by · band Jul 21 – Aug 18

DropForecast's hype-decay model says Ja Morant’s Nike Air Force 1 “Pearl” Releases Tomorrow peaks about 10 days after drop (~Jul 31). Sell by Aug 4 (band Jul 21 – Aug 18). Holding 60 days past that costs an estimated ~32% of resale value (24–33% band) as the hype premium burns off. It dropped 4 days ago and is still climbing toward its modeled peak.

Cost of holding 60d past sell-by~32%
Premium half-life21d
peak ~Jul 31 sell by Aug 4 today drop Jul 21 +62d
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Model basis: category prior (no price history yet). Category: Sneakers. This is a statistical estimate of hype decay from public signals — low confidence, band Jul 21 – Aug 18 — not investment advice or a guarantee. Resale markets move; verify live comps before selling. DropForecast grades its calls in public at /scoreboard.