This sell-window closed. The call below is preserved exactly as published (retired Aug 29, 2026) — DropForecast grades every call in public. See the live board →
DropForecast's hype-decay model says Bad Bunny x adidas F50 Ghost Sprint “Charcoal” Releases August 29th peaks about 14 days after drop (~Sep 12). Sell by Sep 16 (band Sep 2 – Sep 30). Holding 60 days past that costs an estimated ~26% of resale value (17–33% band) as the hype premium burns off. It drops Aug 29 — the clock starts then.
Backtested at 68.8% (cross-validated) on 58 resolved drops, against a 52% coin-flip baseline. 69 live calls are being graded in public as they resolve. Wins and misses both are on the track record page — read the misses before you act on the hits.
Model basis: the category prior — no price history for this product yet. Category: Cards. This is a statistical estimate of hype decay from public signals — low confidence, band Sep 2 – Sep 30 — not investment advice or a guarantee. Resale markets move; verify live comps before selling. DropForecast grades its calls in public at /scoreboard.
