DropForecast's hype-decay model says Nike Air Max 90 x Wagyu Collab Releases September 12th peaks about 10 days after drop (~Sep 22). Sell by Sep 26 (band Sep 12 – Oct 10). Holding 60 days past that costs an estimated ~32% of resale value (24–33% band) as the hype premium burns off. It dropped 37 days ago and is past its modeled peak — every week of holding now burns value.
No call · Is Nike Air Max 90 x Wagyu Collab Releases September worth reselling? →
Drop Sep 12 · peak about Sep 22 · sell by Sep 26 · the chart runs 62 days past the drop · today is day 37
158 calls filed since Jul 22 · 109 matured · 0 graded (0 hits, 0 misses) · 109 unresolvable so far — every one listed on the ledger. Wins and misses both are on the track record page — read the misses before you act on the hits.
Model basis: the category prior — no price history for this product yet. Category: Sneakers. This is a statistical estimate of hype decay from public signals — low confidence, band Sep 12 – Oct 10 — not investment advice or a guarantee. Resale markets move; verify live comps before selling. DropForecast grades its calls in public at /scoreboard.